Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira (Cernache do Bonjardim)


	Vitória de Sernache		Naval

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.15	3.95
	1.84	2.92	4.87	Watch
	1.85	3.29	4.22
	1.77	2.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	4.64 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
50.1%

Draw
30.2%

Naval
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Vitória de Sernache - Naval Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sernache (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Sernache is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Fatima	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Lajense	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Peniche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWL
- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Naval - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mortágua - Naval	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Naval - Fatima	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWT

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