Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima (Lajes)


	Lajense		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.98	2
	3.55	2.97	2.11	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.59	2.91	2.09
	3.5	2.85	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)	2.08 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajense
25.6%

Draw
31.1%

Vitória de Sernache
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28.8%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória de Sernache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lajense - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent performances by Lajense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sernache is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sernache is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Lajense	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Os Marialvas - Lajense	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Lajense - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Lajense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWLW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	Vitória de Sernache - Os Marialvas	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Fatima	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Lajense	2:0

Lajense - Vitória de Sernache: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide