Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 25

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Encarnación		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.33	2.95	2.75
	2.14	3.15	3.17
	2.19	3.23	3.29	Watch
	2.11	3.00	3.10
	2.15	3.04	3.19	Watch
	2.08	3.10	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.11 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Encarnación
41.8%

Draw
29.2%

Deportivo Capiatá
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Encarnación - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Arguello D. ⚽,
21', Verdun J. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 2 - 0, Schabus M. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Verdun J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 3 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th and 12th).

In recent outings, Encarnación has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Deportivo Capiatá is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Encarnación may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Encarnación has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Encarnación against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dep. Capiata	27	6	11	10	31:37	-6	29
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25:39	-14	22

Last Results with these Odds

Encarnación - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.59%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Encarnación	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Encarnación - Benjamín Aceval	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWLW
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.09.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Deportivo Santaní	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Capiatá - 3 de Noviembre	4:3 ✺
28.08.26	General Caballero JLM - Deportivo Capiatá	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.05.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Encarnación	1:0
05.09.25	Encarnación - Deportivo Capiatá	1:2
31.05.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Encarnación	2:1

Encarnación - Deportivo Capiatá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide