Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 27

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Encarnación		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.32	3.25	2.62
	2.39	3.35	2.66
	2.3	3.34	2.99	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.50
	2.44	3.74	2.54	Watch
	2.31	3.25	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)	3.35 ↑ (2.9)	2.64 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Encarnación
38.6%

Draw
27%

Resistencia
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Encarnación has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Encarnación - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 0 - 2, Diaz F. ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, Gomez J. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th and 11th).

Encarnación has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Resistencia is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Encarnación has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Encarnación against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Resistencia	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25:39	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.09.26	Sol de América - Encarnación	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Encarnación - Deportivo Capiatá	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Encarnación	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLTW
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.09.26	Resistencia - Deportivo Santaní	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Resistencia - 3 de Noviembre	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Resistencia - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
30.06.26	Resistencia - Encarnación	1:0
26.07.25	Resistencia - Encarnación	2:2
22.04.25	Encarnación - Resistencia	1:1
27.09.24	Resistencia - Encarnación	5:1
23.06.24	Encarnación - Resistencia	0:1

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