Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Enfield Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.91	3.5	2.29
	2.99	3.36	2.31
	2.85	3.48	2.25
	2.8	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.17)	3.46 ↓ (3.72)	2.28 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enfield Town
32.7%

Draw
26.8%

Aveley
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

24.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Enfield Town's form might have worsened.

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aveley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aveley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Enfield Town - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Smith ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ogunrinde E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
62', 1 - 2, Anifowose J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Ottaway H. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Coleman R. ⚽,
89', 2 - 4, Hughes C. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Enfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Enfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Enfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enfield Town
English National League South
12.10.24	Farnborough - Enfield Town	4:1 ✺
05.10.24	Enfield Town - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Enfield Town	4:0 ✺
21.09.24	Bath City - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Enfield Town - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWL
- Aveley
English National League South
12.10.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Farnborough - Aveley	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Aveley - Truro City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Aveley - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Chesham United - Aveley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.04.23	Enfield Town - Aveley	1:2
09.12.22	Aveley - Enfield Town	1:1

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