Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.33
	1.66	3.75	4.75
	1.66	3.84	4.6
	1.68	3.88	4.69	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.66	3.84	4.64
	1.66	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.83 ↓ (4.05)	4.75 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
56.5%

Draw
24.1%

Aveley
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Chesham United - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Coleman R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Kawa D. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Stevens C. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chesham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aveley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
03.09.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Welling United - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.08.24	Chesham United - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	St Albans City - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWL
- Aveley
English National League South
02.09.24	Aveley - Dorking Wanderers	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Torquay United - Aveley	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Aveley - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Aveley - Chesham United	1:3

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