Match Info

WORLD: Friendly International Women

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	ARD, Das Erste
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 6, Viaplay
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	England W		Germany W

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.87	3.6	3.75
	1.92	3.47	3.92
	1.86	3.57	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.6
	1.85	3.6	3.78	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

England W
49.2%

Draw
26.2%

Germany W
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

England W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in England W's performance.

Germany W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germany W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

England W - Germany W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hampton H. (G) Chelsea 2. Bronze L. Chelsea 5. Bright M. Chelsea 6. Williamson L. (C) Arsenal 3. Carter J. Gotham FC 8. Stanway G. Bayern Munich 10. Toone E. Manchester United 4. Walsh K. Barcelona 7. Mead B. Arsenal 9. Russo A. Arsenal 11. Hemp L. Manchester City	1. Berger A. (G) Gotham FC 15. Gwinn G. (C) Bayern Munich 23. Doorsoun-Khajeh S. Eintracht Frankfurt 6. Minge J. Wolfsburg 2. Linder S. Wolfsburg 16. Dallmann L. Bayern Munich 20. Senss E. Eintracht Frankfurt 22. Brand J. Wolfsburg 9. Nusken S. Chelsea 19. Buhl K. Bayern Munich 24. Hoffmann G. RB Leipzig
Substitutes
17. Beever-Jones A. Chelsea 18. Clinton G. Manchester United 13. Earps M. (G) PSG 16. Greenwood A. Manchester City 19. Kelly C. Manchester City 12. Le Tissier M. Manchester United 21. Moorhouse A. (G) Orlando Pride 15. Morgan E. Manchester City 20. Naz J. Tottenham 22. Parker L. Aston Villa 14. Park J. Manchester City	97. Anyomi N. Eintracht Frankfurt 98. Cerci S. Hoffenheim 96. Dabritz S. Lyon 99. Endemann V. Wolfsburg 95. Grawe L. Eintracht Frankfurt 12. Johannes S. (G) Eintracht Frankfurt 91. Kleinherne S. Eintracht Frankfurt 94. Lohmann S. Bayern Munich 92. Rauch F. North Carolina Courage 90. Winkler S. (G) SGS Essen 93. Wolter P. Eintracht Frankfurt
Coaches
Wiegman S.	Wuck C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
2', Bright M. 🟨,
4', 0 - 1, Gwinn G. (Pen),
11', 0 - 2, Gwinn G. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
29', 0 - 3, Buhl K. ⚽, Hoffmann G. (A),
33', 1 - 3, Stanway G. (Pen),
36', 2 - 3, Stanway G. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Toone E. ↓, Park J. ↑,
46', Hoffmann G. ↓, Cerci S. ↑,
46', Linder S. ↓, Rauch F. ↑,
61', Williamson L. ↓, Greenwood A. ↑,
62', Nusken S. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
63', Gwinn G. ↓, Wolter P. ↑,
68', Doorsoun-Khajeh S. ↓, Kleinherne S. ↑,
72', 2 - 4, Dabritz S. (Pen),
73', Russo A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
81', 3 - 4, Bronze L. ⚽,
82', Bronze L. ↓, Le Tissier M. ↑,
82', Mead B. ↓, Naz J. ↑,
83', Brand J. ↓, Endemann V. ↑,
90+1', Kleinherne S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches England won 2.

England will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches England won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England W
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.24	Sweden W - England W	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	England W - Ireland W	2:1 ✺
04.06.24	France W - England W	1:2 ✺
31.05.24	England W - France W	1:2 ✺
09.04.24	Ireland W - England W	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWLW
- Germany W
Olympic Games - Football Women
09.08.24	Spain W - Germany W	0:1 ✺
06.08.24	USA W - Germany W	1:0 ET ✺
03.08.24	Canada W - Germany W	0:1 penalties ✺
31.07.24	Zambia W - Germany W	1:4 ✺
28.07.24	USA W - Germany W	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro Women
31.07.22	England W - Germany W	2:1
Arnold Clark Cup Women
23.02.22	England W - Germany W	3:1
Friendly International Women
09.11.19	England W - Germany W	1:2
SheBelieves Cup Women
04.03.18	Germany W - England W	2:2
07.03.17	Germany W - England W	1:0
06.03.16	Germany W - England W	2:1
Friendly International Women
26.11.15	Germany W - England W	0:0

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