Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Equity Bank		Gucha Stars

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.54	5.51	Watch
	1.7	3	4.8
	1.85	3.3	4.05
	1.55	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.81)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	4.92 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equity Bank
54.1%

Draw
27.5%

Gucha Stars
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equity Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Gucha Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Equity Bank than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Equity Bank - Gucha Stars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Equity Bank will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Equity Bank is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Equity Bank	36	20	11	5	53:26	27	71
13	Gucha Stars	36	11	8	17	32:38	-6	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equity Bank FC
Kenyan Super League
11.01.26	MOFA - Equity Bank	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Equity Bank - Vihiga United	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Equity Bank - Darajani Gogo	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWWL
- Gucha Stars FC
Kenyan Super League
10.01.26	Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Luanda Villa - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Gucha Stars - MOFA	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWTL

Equity Bank - Gucha Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide