Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 20

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Kepez Belediyesi		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.75	1.46
	5.86	3.93	1.51	Watch
	5	3.5	1.53
	5.7	3.94	1.54
	5.5	3.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (5.22)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kepez Belediyesi
16.4%

Draw
23.8%

Karacabey Belediyespor
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23.3%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

23%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kepez Belediyesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kepez Belediyesi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Kepez Belediyesi - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Yilmaz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Colak B. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Colak B. ⚽,

Preview

Kepez is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karacabey Bld has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Karacabey Bld is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kepez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kepez Belediyesi
Turkish Second League White Group
28.12.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Batman Petrolspor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Altınordu - Kepez Belediyesi	2:2 ✺
16.12.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Ankaragücü - Kepez Belediyesi	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Elazığspor	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
28.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beykoz Anadolu	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Ankaraspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
23.08.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kepez Belediyesi	1:1

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