Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Ergene Velimeşe		İnegölspor

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.98
	3.2	3.05	2.05
	3.35	3.15	2.03
	3.46	3.25	2.08
	3.25	3.52	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.46)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergene Velimeşe
27.4%

Draw
28%

İnegölspor
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

20.8%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergene Velimeşe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

İnegölspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergene Velimeşe than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ergene Velimeşe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İnegölspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ergene Velimeşe - İnegölspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Ergene Velimeşe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches İnegölspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

İnegölspor will have a poor advantage in this game.

İnegölspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ergene Velimeşe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ergene Velimeşe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergene Velimeşe
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.10.21	Hekimoğlu Trabzon - Ergene Velimeşe	3:1 ✺
06.10.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Ankaraspor	0:3 ✺
02.10.21	Somaspor - Ergene Velimeşe	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Bodrumspor - Ergene Velimeşe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.10.21	İnegölspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
06.10.21	Afjet Afyonspor - İnegölspor	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	İnegölspor - Adiyamanspor	3:2 ✺
26.09.21	Niğde Belediyespor - İnegölspor	1:5 ✺
19.09.21	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
18.03.21	Ergene Velimeşe - İnegölspor	2:2
14.11.20	İnegölspor - Ergene Velimeşe	1:0

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