Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Ermis Aradippou		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.4	3.85	1.42
	6	3.85	1.47
	6.98	4.17	1.5
	7	3.7	1.44
	6.8	4.05	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (6.19)	3.94 ↑ (3.83)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Aradippou
13.9%

Draw
23.3%

AEL Limassol
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

23.8%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

19.5%

74.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermis Aradippou - AEL Limassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone First Division (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to First Division (Championship Group)).

AEL is Qualified for First Division (Championship Group)

Ermis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AEL is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match AEL is absolute favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Ermis won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 19-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
22.01.21	AEK Larnaca - Ermis Aradippou	3:1 ✺
15.01.21	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:0 ✺
09.01.21	APOEL - Ermis Aradippou	3:0 ✺
05.01.21	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2 ✺
02.01.21	Olympiacos Nicosia - Ermis Aradippou	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLT
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
22.01.21	AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	3:1 ✺
15.01.21	Enosis Neon Paralimni - AEL Limassol	1:0 ✺
09.01.21	AEL Limassol - Omonia	1:1 ✺
06.01.21	AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
02.01.21	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
31.10.20	AEL Limassol - Ermis Aradippou	2:1
Cypriot Cup
27.02.19	Ermis Aradippou - AEL Limassol	2:3
20.02.19	AEL Limassol - Ermis Aradippou	4:0
Cypriot First Division
10.12.18	AEL Limassol - Ermis Aradippou	3:2
25.08.18	Ermis Aradippou - AEL Limassol	0:1
07.02.18	AEL Limassol - Ermis Aradippou	1:0
29.10.17	Ermis Aradippou - AEL Limassol	0:1

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