Match Info

Date: 24 May 2021, Monday


	Ermis Aradippou		Paphos

	1	X	2
	6.8	4.5	1.35
	7	5.4	1.28
	7.65	5.53	1.34
	8.2	5.8	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.41 ↑ (7.03)	5.31 ↑ (5.1)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Aradippou
12.4%

Draw
17.4%

Paphos
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

18.3%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

15.9%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paphos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermis Aradippou - Paphos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ermis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paphos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ermis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paphos is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ermis won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
21.05.21	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	2:0 ✺
17.05.21	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	7:1 ✺
11.05.21	Ermis Aradippou - Enosis Neon Paralimni	4:2 ✺
07.05.21	Nea Salamis - Ermis Aradippou	3:1 ✺
23.04.21	Ermis Aradippou - Doxa Katokopias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
20.05.21	Paphos - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:0 ✺
16.05.21	Nea Salamis - Paphos	1:2 ✺
12.05.21	Paphos - Doxa Katokopias	2:1 ✺
05.05.21	APOEL - Paphos	0:1 ✺
28.04.21	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Paphos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
12.04.21	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	3:1
22.02.21	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	3:1
06.12.20	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	1:1
17.05.19	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	1:2
06.04.19	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	4:1
11.02.19	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	2:1
10.11.18	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	3:0

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