Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 14

Date: 16 December 2024, Monday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	Nea Salamis		Paphos

	1	X	2
	8	4.6	1.3
	8	4.9	1.33
	8.52	5.27	1.33
	8.24	5.29	1.32	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.33
	8.3	5	1.34	Watch
	8	4.9	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.22 ↑ (6.83)	4.92 ↑ (4.53)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nea Salamis
11.3%

Draw
18.8%

Paphos
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.6%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

20.1%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Salamis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Nea Salamis - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melissas N. (G) 6. Acevedo L. 9. Durmishaj F. 10. Fernandez V. 23. Frangos A. 12. Gbelle G. 80. Katsiaris A. 24. Leuko S. 5. Michail A. 7. Narsingh L. 4. Tomovic N.	1. Ivusic I. (G) 32. Boukamir M. 7. Bruno 77. Correia J. 5. Goldar D. 10. Jairo (C) 9. Leo Natel 88. Pepe 2. Pileas K. 8. Quina D. 26. Sunjic I.
Coaches
Janevski C.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Quina D. ⚽,
8', Durmishaj F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Jairo ⚽,
63', Correia J. 🟨,
64', Leo Natel ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
64', Pileas K. ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
64', Durmishaj F. ↓, Vellios A. ↑,
64', Katsiaris A. ↓, Bahassa Y. ↑,
74', Fernandez V. ↓, Lecjaks J. ↑,
76', Jairo ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
76', Sunjic I. ↓, Name M. ↑,
79', Correia J. ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
85', Michail A. ↓, Dos Santos N. C. C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 1.

Nea Salamis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paphos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paphos is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21:33 (average 1.1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Nea Salamis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nea Salamis
Cypriot Cup
11.12.24	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Nea Salamis	1:0 penalties ✺
Cypriot First Division
08.12.24	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Omonia Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Nea Salamis - Omonia 29is Maiou	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Nea Salamis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLLT
- Paphos FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Paphos - Celje	2:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
08.12.24	Ethnikos Achna - Paphos	0:2 ✺
02.12.24	Paphos - Omonia	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Fiorentina - Paphos	3:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
23.11.24	Paphos - APOEL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
18.09.24	Paphos - Nea Salamis	4:0
Cypriot Cup
28.02.24	Nea Salamis - Paphos	0:5
Cypriot First Division
19.02.24	Paphos - Nea Salamis	0:0
03.12.23	Nea Salamis - Paphos	0:2
03.02.23	Paphos - Nea Salamis	1:2
29.10.22	Nea Salamis - Paphos	0:2
16.05.21	Nea Salamis - Paphos	1:2

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