The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzurumspor 66.4%
Draw 21.2%
İstanbulspor 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
22.8%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
22.3%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 4. Gerxhaliu A. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 99. Fettahoglu M. 10. Tozlu E.
1. Dogan I. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 40. Erdal I. A. 24. Uzunhan E. 2. Bahadir Y. 14. Sahin D. 6. Vorobjovas M. 10. Loshaj F. 8. Temel V. 77. Krstovski M. 9. Gultekin E. (C)
Substitutes
1. Anapa E. (G) 35. Erdem E. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 3. Kirtay Y. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A.
23. Cifti F. 83. Dayakli I. 52. Duymaz O. F. 27. Koseoglu E. 66. Mamadou M. 32. Mermerci D. 70. Sahin C. 7. Sambissa D. 28. Tutar A. (G) 42. Yavuz S.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.
Avci M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Fettahoglu M. ⚽, Ovacikli O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Temel V. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
57', Keser B. 🟨,
59', Erdal I. A. ↓, Mermerci D. ↑,
66', Krstovski M. ↓, Sambissa D. ↑,
66', Gultekin E. ↓, Mamadou M. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Ovacikli O. (A),
76', Keser B. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
77', Sahin D. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
82', Tozlu E. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
82', Yumlu M. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
83', Baiye B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
87', Fettahoglu M. 🟨,
87', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Gerxhaliu A. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Erzurumspor is the team to beat.
There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akpinar M.
(Suspended)
Bayrak C.
(Suspended)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Onal M.
(Suspended)
Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Sever I.
(Suspended)
Yener H.
(Suspended)
There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D.
(Suspended)
Kabadayi K.
(Suspended)
Ologo Inainfe M.
(Broken Leg)
Ozer Y.
(Suspended)
Sarialioglu E.
(Suspended)
Tultak F.
(Suspended)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
Yilmaz A. S.
(Suspended)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).