Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 29

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Göztepe		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.56	3.82	6.47
	1.56	3.82	6.47
	1.53	3.6	5.8
	1.57	3.74	5.74
	1.57	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)	3.73 ↓ (3.93)	5.92 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
59.5%

Draw
24.9%

Erzurumspor
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Göztepe - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Göztepe will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 77. Bayrak O. 4. Altikardes T. 15. Serbest T. 5. Heliton 50. Akdag U. 31. Dennis A. J. 30. Kayan Y. (C) 6. Yuksel C. 45. Messaoudi B. 79. Romulo	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 3. Kirtay Y. 77. Hanalp C. 25. Estrela 8. Akgun S. 19. Budak U. 7. Koc S. 20. Ozhan M. 10. Tozlu E.
Substitutes
17. Aksakal E. 21. Erdogan D. 81. Gemicibasi T. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 14. Lundqvist R. 23. Mamah K. 24. Nielsen L. 33. Nukan A. 13. Ozcimen A. (G) 88. Uzum F.	23. Bayrak C. 6. Karaca A. 9. Mevlutoglu H. 14. Ozfesli A. 17. Rosheuvel M. 18. Sert O. 24. Shala H. 99. Varlik G. 13. Yagci O. (G) 16. Yavas M. E.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Kutlu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Romulo ⚽, Bayrak O. (A),
24', Budak U. ↓, Sert O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Hanalp C. 🟥,
61', Romulo 🟨,
70', Ozhan M. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Romulo ⚽, Kayan Y. (A),
72', Akgun S. ↓, Rosheuvel M. ↑,
75', Messaoudi B. ↓, Lundqvist R. ↑,
75', Kayan Y. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Yumlu M. (Own goal),
82', Koc S. ↓, Yavas M. E. ↑,
85', Yuksel C. ↓, Nukan A. ↑,
86', Serbest T. 🟨,
90', Romulo ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
90', Heliton ↓, Nielsen L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Göztepe is a favorite.

There are questionable in Göztepe: Diouf M. (Injury) Erdogan D. (Injury) Ildiz A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Akbas M. (Muscle Injury) Artarslan B. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish First League
03.04.24	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Göztepe - Keçiörengücü	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Göztepe - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Adanaspor - Göztepe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWWW
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
04.04.24	Erzurumspor - Giresunspor	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
12.11.23	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	3:2
21.01.23	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	0:1
21.08.22	Göztepe - Erzurumspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
08.03.21	Göztepe - Erzurumspor	3:1
07.11.20	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	1:1
20.04.19	Göztepe - Erzurumspor	0:1
10.11.18	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	2:1

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