The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzurumspor 26.4%
Draw 30.2%
Trabzonspor 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
29.8%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
24.4%
55.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
6.7%
86.7%
Erzurumspor - Trabzonspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Trabzonspor will win
(26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Erzurum BB has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Trabzonspor has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Erzurum BB is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Trabzonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Trabzonspor will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Erzurum BB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Erzurum BB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.