Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.21	3.32	3.37
	2.2	3.22	3.33	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.23 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 3. Kirtay Y. 21. Roshi O. 24. Crociata G. 25. Azubuike O. 15. Giorbelidze G. 91. Teklic T. 10. Tozlu E. 30. Fettahoglu M.	1. Bilgin E. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 14. Doh M. 11. Johnson D. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 70. Lamkel Ze D. 9. Wesley
Substitutes
2. Akbas M. 8. Akgun S. 4. Akkan G. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 9. Kilinc K. 11. Mamba S. 20. Ozhan F. 18. Sert O. 88. Tasev T.	99. Beklevic F. (G) 6. Dabanli B. 90. Demiroglu B. 10. Dovedan N. 20. Mert M. 21. Paoletti F. 17. Sivri A. 77. Tugyan A. 8. Ugur A. 23. Ulvan T.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Sassarini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Johnson D. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Gurpuz G. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
37', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Wesley ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', Azubuike O. ↓, Akgun S. ↑,
67', Giorbelidze G. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
67', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Mamba S. ↑,
67', Roshi O. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
70', Yumlu M. 🟨,
78', Ozhan F. 🟥,
82', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
82', Gurpuz G. ↓, Dabanli B. ↑,
83', 0 - 3, Dabanli B. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
85', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
86', Tozlu E. 🟨,
90+4', Wesley ↓, Demiroglu B. ↑,
90+4', Doh M. ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
90+4', Ugur A. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Yumlu M. ⚽, Teklic T. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Erzurumspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Karagümrük is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Erzurumspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Erzurumspor will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Artarslan B. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 1:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
10.11.24	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Erzurumspor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:0 ✺
20.10.24	Pendikspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Erzurumspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTW
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
09.11.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	6:1 ✺
02.11.24	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adanaspor	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Bandırmaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
03.03.21	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2
30.10.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor	5:1
Turkish First League
10.03.20	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3
03.11.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor	0:1
Turkish Second League White Group
22.01.17	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1

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