Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)


	Esbjerg		AB Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	8.5
	1.25	5.55	10
	1.25	5.78	9.18
	1.25	5.78	9.18
	1.18	5.5	9.5
	1.26	5.95	9.7
	1.27	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.41)	5.61 ↑ (4.33)	9.21 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
73.7%

Draw
16.3%

AB Copenhagen
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

20.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esbjerg's performance.

AB Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esbjerg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AB Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Esbjerg - AB Copenhagen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Simpson S. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Lausen A. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Lausen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 4 - 0, Lausen A. ⚽,
68', 5 - 0, Maden M. ⚽,
77', 6 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽,
78', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Esbjerg is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Esbjerg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 2 Division
24.05.24	Middelfart - Esbjerg	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
03.05.24	Nykøbing - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- AB Copenhagen
Danish 2 Division
24.05.24	AB Copenhagen - Roskilde	3:3 ✺
17.05.24	AB Copenhagen - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Aarhus Fremad - AB Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	AB Copenhagen - Middelfart	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Nykøbing - AB Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
14.04.24	AB Copenhagen - Esbjerg	2:1
10.03.24	Esbjerg - AB Copenhagen	2:1
02.09.23	AB Copenhagen - Esbjerg	0:3
27.05.23	AB Copenhagen - Esbjerg	1:1
30.04.23	Esbjerg - AB Copenhagen	0:2
10.04.23	AB Copenhagen - Esbjerg	0:0
21.08.22	Esbjerg - AB Copenhagen	3:2

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