Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 16

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		Roskilde

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.6	4.1	4.5
	1.69	4.15	4.3	Watch
	1.72	4.25	4.38
	1.7	4.1	4.28	Watch
	1.65	4	4
	1.68	4.15	4.35	Watch
	1.66	4.15	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	4.11 ↑ (4)	4.32 (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
55.7%

Draw
22.7%

Roskilde
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

21.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Esbjerg - Roskilde Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Roskilde will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadegaard Andersen D. (G) 2. Mortensen J. 25. Meyer J. 3. Skipper A. 5. Troelsen A. 21. Montano L. 10. Bourhane Y. 17. Beck J. 7. From L. 14. Freriks T. 12. Lausen A.	1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Juhl M. 12. Vesterbaek N. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 23. Fraulo G. 6. Halse N. 26. Lysholm M. 7. Nielsen E. 18. Maarup A. 10. Arabaci R.
Substitutes
39. Andersen E. 27. Baldursson B. 11. Bjur P. 26. Flaskager F. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 9. Ladefoged M. 6. Lauridsen J. 19. Strunck Jakobsen N. 4. Tjornelund P.	11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 33. Hamade Z. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 15. Taranis A. 17. Winkel M.
Coaches
Sorensen L. L.	Theil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Freriks T. ⚽, Montano L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jensen Juul O. ↓, Baskaya S. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Beck J. ⚽, Bourhane Y. (A),
55', Nielsen E. ↓, Taranis A. ↑,
55', Arabaci R. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
65', Freriks T. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
65', Bourhane Y. ↓, Strunck Jakobsen N. ↑,
69', Juhl M. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
76', Troelsen A. ↓, Baldursson B. ↑,
76', From L. ↓, Bjur P. ↑,
82', Halse N. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
87', Lausen A. ↓, Andersen E. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 3.

Recent matches Esbjerg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roskilde is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esbjerg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Esbjerg is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:14 (average 2.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Esbjerg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
03.11.24	Esbjerg - Hobro	3:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.24	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
26.10.24	OB Odense - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
04.10.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Esbjerg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
02.11.24	Roskilde - Kolding IF	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Roskilde	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Roskilde - OB Odense	1:5 ✺
04.10.24	Hobro - Roskilde	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Roskilde - HB Køge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
30.08.24	Roskilde - Esbjerg	1:2
Danish 2 Division
08.06.24	Roskilde - Esbjerg	2:2
12.05.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	3:2
28.03.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	4:2
30.09.23	Roskilde - Esbjerg	3:3
12.03.23	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:1
01.10.22	Roskilde - Esbjerg	0:1

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