Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Voergaard A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		Jammerbugt

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.5
	1.63	4.1	4.6
	1.62	4.1	4.4
	1.66	4.32	4.9
	1.47	4	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4.4	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.47)	4.17 ↓ (4.32)	4.75 ↓ (6.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
58%

Draw
22.4%

Jammerbugt
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.9%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

22.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esbjerg's form might have worsened.

Jammerbugt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jammerbugt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esbjerg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jammerbugt than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jammerbugt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Esbjerg - Jammerbugt Predictions

Users Predictions: Esbjerg will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Esbjerg is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Esbjerg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
22.05.22	Hobro - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
18.05.22	Esbjerg - Fremad Amager	2:3 ✺
15.05.22	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	2:2 ✺
07.05.22	HB Køge - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
29.04.22	Fremad Amager - Esbjerg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTLL
- Jammerbugt FC
Danish 1 Division
22.05.22	Jammerbugt - Fremad Amager	3:2 ✺
19.05.22	HB Køge - Jammerbugt	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Jammerbugt - Hobro	2:3 ✺
08.05.22	Vendsyssel - Jammerbugt	4:1 ✺
01.05.22	Jammerbugt - HB Køge	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
10.04.22	Jammerbugt - Esbjerg	2:1
05.11.21	Esbjerg - Jammerbugt	2:2
26.09.21	Jammerbugt - Esbjerg	1:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
26.09.18	Jammerbugt - Esbjerg	0:1

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