Match Info

1st Division - Round 7

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hobro		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	2.88	4	2.1	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.25
	3.3	3.9	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.85	2.25
	1.93	3.85	3.43	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.25
	3.19	3.88	2.04	Watch
	2.5	4.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.5)	3.85 ↓ (4.25)	2.32 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
34.3%

Draw
24.7%

Esbjerg
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

21.9%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

20.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Hobro - Esbjerg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hobro will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Esbjerg will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esbjerg: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Esbjerg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dakir J. (G) 22. Nielsen M. 18. Sogaard E. 12. Jacobsen M. 13. Dietz F. 27. Klitten L. 7. Klitten O. 17. Hyltoft Z. 8. Pedersen M. 10. Rasmussen V. 9. Andreasen S.	16. Kristensen K. (G) 2. Buus J. 3. Skipper A. 5. Troelsen A. 19. Strand S. 11. Bjur P. 6. Vigen L. 12. Lausen A. 7. From L. 9. Ankersen J. 80. Brajanac M.
Substitutes
15. Bjerge G. 40. Boye M. 23. Bruhn M. 47. Bryld A. 26. Hansen T. 5. Kannegaard M. 16. Meedom O. 37. Rosengreen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)	27. Baldursson B. 32. Blicher N. 18. Hansen M. 34. Jorgensen E. (G) 17. Lucena J. 8. Maden M. 15. Stagaard T. 39. Strandby N. 4. Tjornelund P.
Coaches
Gjesing J.	Manoharan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Klitten O. ⚽, Klitten L. (A),
16', Rasmussen V. ↓, Hansen T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Dietz F. 🟨,
62', Ankersen J. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
62', Bjur P. ↓, Maden M. ↑,
67', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Bryld A. ↑,
67', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Bruhn M. ⚽, Nielsen M. (A),
73', Lausen A. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
73', Buus J. ↓, Tjornelund P. ↑,
76', From L. ↓, Strandby N. ↑,
77', Bryld A. 🟨,
90+2', Klitten L. ↓, Kannegaard M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 0.

Hobro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Esbjerg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:46. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.7:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Esbjerg - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
20.08.25	Hobro - Horsens	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Hillerød - Hobro	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Hobro - B.93 Copenhagen	1:4 ✺
01.08.25	Aalborg BK - Hobro	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Hobro - Middelfart	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLTT
- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
19.08.25	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Esbjerg	1:5 ✺
09.08.25	Esbjerg - Kolding IF	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.25	Marienlyst - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
02.08.25	Middelfart - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
03.11.24	Esbjerg - Hobro	3:2
26.07.24	Hobro - Esbjerg	3:6
22.05.22	Hobro - Esbjerg	1:2
31.03.22	Esbjerg - Hobro	2:2
29.10.21	Hobro - Esbjerg	2:6
10.09.21	Esbjerg - Hobro	2:1
19.03.21	Esbjerg - Hobro	1:0

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