Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Eusebio Arce (Escobedo)


	Escobedo		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.65
	5.25	3.7	1.68
	5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.05	3.5	1.64
	5.35	3.52	1.62	Watch
	5	3.6	1.6	Watch
	5.51	3.72	1.66
	5	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.68)	3.61 ↑ (3.51)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Escobedo
17.9%

Draw
25.7%

Ponferradina
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

26.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

26.3%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Escobedo - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rumenov I. (G) 18. Cagigal A. 21. Casar J. 23. Espinosa D. S. 10. Gandarillas M. 4. Morales J. 6. Ortiz I. 11. Pena G. B. 20. Romero J. 5. Ruiz Fernandez V. 19. Sazatronil M.	13. Jimenez A. (G) 15. Bustos A. 17. Carrique T. 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A. 16. Lozano M. 11. Mula A. 4. Sibille K.
Substitutes
22. Fernandez A. 7. Fontan E. 3. Garcia F. (G) 13. Laro G. 14. Tresgallo R. 17. Villasana A.	2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 27. Blanco A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cortes J. 22. Esquerdo V. 1. Prieto A. (G) 18. Ramon A. 10. Valle B. 26. Zhadanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Cagigal A. 🟨,
24', Casar J. 🟨,
39', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Bustos A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
68', Pena G. B. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
68', Cagigal A. ↓, Tresgallo Balbin R. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Fontan E. (Pen),
1, Esquerdo V. (Pen),
2, Villasana A. (Pen),
2, Cortes J. (Pen),
3, Casar J. (Pen),
3, Lopez A. (Pen),
4, Tresgallo Balbin R. (Pen),
4, Costa A. (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Escobedo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Escobedo - Langreo	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Escobedo	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	Escobedo - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Compostela - Escobedo	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Escobedo - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
11.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Osasuna B - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTWW

Upcoming Matches