The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Escorpiones de Belén 76.1%
Draw 15.2%
Santa Cruz PFA 8.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
73.8%
16.9%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escorpiones de Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Escorpiones de Belén - Santa Cruz PFA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Montiel R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Ferreto C. ⚽,
72', 🟥,
79', 2 - 1, Montiel R. ⚽,
85', 🟥,
86', 3 - 1, Camareno J. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Serrano J. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Escorpiones is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santa Cruz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Escorpiones is the obvious favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Escorpiones won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Escorpiones won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).