Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Escorpiones de Belén		Liberia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.7	3.25	2.18
	2.93	3.34	2.23
	2.91	3.48	2.2
	2.85	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 (2.84)	3.35 ↓ (3.53)	2.19 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escorpiones de Belén
31.8%

Draw
26.9%

Liberia
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.6%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escorpiones de Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liberia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Escorpiones de Belén - Liberia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Escorpiones is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liberia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Escorpiones won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Escorpiones won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.05.23	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Limon Black Star - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Escorpiones de Belén - Carmelita	5:2 ✺
14.04.23	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Santa Ana - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- Liberia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
07.05.23	Liberia - Quepos	1:0 penalties ✺
01.05.23	Quepos - Liberia	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Liberia - Uruguay de Coronado	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Uruguay de Coronado - Liberia	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Liberia - Jicaral	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
10.04.22	Liberia - Escorpiones de Belén	2:1
23.02.22	Escorpiones de Belén - Liberia	4:3

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