Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 28

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Harlyckan (Helsingborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Eskilsminne		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	4.33	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.38	4.15	1.65
	4.5	3.99	1.69	Watch
	4.75	3.82	1.64	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.21)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eskilsminne
20.7%

Draw
23.9%

Falkenberg
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.1%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

20.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eskilsminne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eskilsminne than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eskilsminne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkenberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eskilsminne - Falkenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nilsson E. (G) 10. Akerman O. 25. Albin J. 8. Getachew J. 22. Lernesjo J. 6. Ljungberg C. (C) 5. Lohan D. 2. Petersson A. 9. Poppler V. 20. Robert K. 18. Wendt R.	1. Andersson A. (G) 30. Aguda G. 23. Andersson R. 8. Bertilsson N. 18. Borgstrom L. 5. Hansson N. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Shahin L. 17. Sibelius L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 22. Tilly H.
Substitutes
23. Getachew Y. 21. Hazime A. 4. Ibishi E. 15. Larsson J. 31. Martensson P. (G) 99. Seger C. 11. Stoltz H.	24. Bodiroza V. 12. Carlsson C. 6. Christiansson E. 2. Johansson G. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 19. Lindberg O. 15. Silverholt O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Aguda G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Tilly H. ⚽, Borgstrom L. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Albin J. ⚽, Akerman O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 1 - 2, Bertilsson N. ⚽,
62', Tilly H. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Shahin L. ⚽,
67', Petersson A. 🟨,
73', 1 - 4, Borgstrom L. ⚽,
74', Akerman O. ↓, Seger C. ↑,
74', Poppler V. ↓, Stoltz H. ↑,
74', Wendt R. ↓, Getachew Y. ↑,
77', Sibelius L. ↓, Silverholt O. ↑,
81', Lohan D. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
81', Robert K. ↓, Ibishi E. ↑,
85', Aguda G. ↓, Carlsson C. ↑,
86', Andersson R. ↓, Christiansson E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).

Recent matches Eskilsminne is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Falkenberg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falkenberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Falkenberg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eskilsminne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Eskilsminne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eskilsminne IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.10.24	Jönköpings Södra - Eskilsminne	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Eskilsminne - Lunds	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Torslanda - Eskilsminne	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Eskilsminne - Torn	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	AFC Malmö - Eskilsminne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTW
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
20.10.24	Falkenberg - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Oskarshamn - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Falkenberg - Ängelholm	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Trollhättan - Falkenberg	3:2 ✺
21.09.24	Falkenberg - Ljungskile	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.05.24	Falkenberg - Eskilsminne	3:0
29.10.23	Falkenberg - Eskilsminne	3:1
17.06.23	Eskilsminne - Falkenberg	2:2

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