The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Espanyol 36%
Draw 29.5%
Deportivo Alavés 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.5%
29.6%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
28.7%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Munoz M. (G) 35. Domenech A. 18. Garcia Yague R. 21. Guerra J. 5. Vallejo L. (C) 6. Torras M. 16. Gutierrez P. 12. Bicho 11. Baradad O. 9. Anita 7. Lacosta I.
1. Fuente S. (G) 17. Ait El Haj H. 5. Juan I. (C) 21. Pichi 23. Vidal J. 16. Rivero A. 6. Lopez N. 12. Kim Shin-Ji 11. Gomez A. 9. Reyes 7. Sobron C.
Substitutes
19. Arana P. 10. Baudet C. 22. Browne P. 31. Domenech A. 24. Escot N. 17. Garcia N. 55. Medina V. 3. Rodriguez C. 14. Velazquez Jurico A.
4. Amaya 19. Diaz Y. 20. Guallar A. 24. Izal M. 10. Navajas L. 2. Parera L. 13. Polozen S. (G) 18. Viles E.
Coaches
Monforte S.
Esteban Catalan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Gomez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Ait El Haj H. 🟨,
63', Lacosta I. ↓, Escot N. ↑,
66', Rivero A. ↓, Guallar A. ↑,
67', Vidal J. ↓, Parera L. ↑,
73', Anita ↓, Browne P. ↑,
73', Torras M. ↓, Arana P. ↑,
77', Gomez A. ↓, Navajas L. ↑,
77', Reyes ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
89', Monforte S. 🟨,
90+4', Kim Shin-Ji ↓, Viles E. ↑,
90+8', Juan I. 🟨,
90+11', 1 - 0, Browne P. ⚽, Domenech A. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 11th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Espanyol may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Espanyol has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Espanyol against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).