Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Espeleño		Conil

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.27	3.25	2.85
	2.17	3.28	2.82
	2.26	3.37	2.87
	2.21	3.32	2.9
	2.27	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.24)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
40.5%

Draw
27.6%

Conil
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.8%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Espeleño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Espeleño - Conil Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Espeleño has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Conil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Conil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espeleño won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Espeleño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 3.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.05.25	Utrera - Espeleño	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Espeleño - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Bollullos - Espeleño	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Espeleño - Atlético Onubense	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Tomares - Espeleño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLLT
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.05.25	Conil - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Pozoblanco - Conil	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Conil - Inter Sevilla	5:2 ✺
12.04.25	Sevilla C - Conil	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Conil - Atlético Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.01.25	Conil - Espeleño	3:1
28.02.24	Espeleño - Conil	1:2
01.10.23	Conil - Espeleño	1:1
19.03.23	Espeleño - Conil	5:2
13.01.19	Espeleño - Conil	4:1

Espeleño - Conil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide