Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Conil		Cartaya

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.3
	2.17	3	3.3
	2.54	2.95	2.67
				Watch
	2.11	2.95	3.5
	2.17	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.89)	2.97 ↓ (3.18)	3.21 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
41%

Draw
30.6%

Cartaya
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

23.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conil's form might have worsened.

Cartaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+1%)

Conil - Cartaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 3.

In recent matches, Conil has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartaya is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Conil could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Conil won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.05.25	Pozoblanco - Conil	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Conil - Inter Sevilla	5:2 ✺
12.04.25	Sevilla C - Conil	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Conil - Atlético Central	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLLL
- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.05.25	Cartaya - Utrera	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	San Roque de Lepe - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Cartaya - Bollullos	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético Onubense - Cartaya	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Cartaya - Tomares	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.12.24	Cartaya - Conil	3:1
23.03.24	Conil - Cartaya	2:1
04.11.23	Cartaya - Conil	0:1
18.02.23	Conil - Cartaya	4:0
23.10.22	Cartaya - Conil	2:2
23.01.22	Conil - Cartaya	3:1
02.10.21	Cartaya - Conil	1:0

Conil - Cartaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide