Match Info

RWANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Espoir		Gorilla

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.25
	3.15	2.7	2.26
	3.29	2.75	2.25
	3	2.7	2.4
	3.38	2.7	2.31
	3.25	2.8	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.75)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)	2.3 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoir
28%

Draw
32.9%

Gorilla
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

33.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoir than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espoir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Espoir - Gorilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Espoir will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gorilla will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Espoir has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gorilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espoir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gorilla have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Espoir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Espoir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoir FC Rwanda
Rwanda Premier League
17.12.22	Espoir - Etincelles	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Kigali - Espoir	4:0 ✺
03.12.22	Espoir - Sunrise	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Muhazi United - Espoir	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Espoir - Police	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
16.12.22	Kigali - Gorilla	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Marines - Gorilla	0:0 ✺
07.12.22	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Etincelles - Gorilla	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Police - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
18.06.22	Gorilla - Espoir	3:0
28.01.22	Espoir - Gorilla	0:2

Espoir - Gorilla