Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Espoonlahden urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	Espoon Palloseura		JJK Jyväskylä

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.37	3.6	2.35
	2.7	3.65	2.18
	2.78	3.8	2.27
	2.73	3.73	2.21	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.45
	2.83	3.62	2.21
	2.7	3.65	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.73)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)	2.25 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Palloseura
34.2%

Draw
25.2%

JJK Jyväskylä
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

JJK Jyväskylä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JJK Jyväskylä than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Espoon Palloseura - JJK Jyväskylä Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lehtinen L. (G) 19. Adawi O. 7. Azhar L. 15. Blumme V. 33. Dubova K. 49. Hussein A. (C) 98. Kiiski V. 38. Ojakangas E. 18. Ruusu A. 5. Saynio E. 8. Tella A.	1. Kankaanpaa S. (G) 3. Akdogan B. 6. Ciriaco A. 9. Goljahanpoor A. 28. Holmalahti N. 4. Huttunen O. 22. Kangasniemi V. 20. Mahlamaki M. 5. Osso S. 8. Pahkala T. 72. Rintamaki K. (C)
Substitutes
80. Aaltonen A. 1. Brusiin O. (G) 14. Hautakangas P. 20. Kuittinen V. 29. Lassoued M. 9. Pitkanen A. 16. Pllana A. 28. Sheikhani B. 2. Tashevci E.	10. Dunyin J. 14. Leivonen A. 26. Lundell M. 32. Pasoja J. (G) 18. Suutarinen L. 15. Tammisto A. 17. Tuppurainen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Kiiski V. ⚽,
34', Hussein A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Goljahanpoor A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kiiski V. ↓, Pitkanen A. ↑,
59', Pitkanen A. 🟨,
61', Holmalahti N. ↓, Leivonen A. ↑,
64', Ruusu A. ↓, Aaltonen A. ↑,
65', Saynio E. 🟨,
67', Tella A. 🟨,
68', Kangasniemi V. 🟨,
77', Aaltonen A. 🟨,
78', Goljahanpoor A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Azhar L. (Pen),
83', Goljahanpoor A. ↓, Lundell M. ↑,
86', Adawi O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

EPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, EPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
15.05.25	Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Espoon Palloseura - Inter Turku II	3:5 ✺
03.05.25	OLS - Espoon Palloseura	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Espoon Palloseura - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Espoon Palloseura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLLWW
- JJK Jyväskylä
Finnish Ykkonen
18.05.25	JJK Jyväskylä - RoPS	5:0 ✺
11.05.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Tampere United - JJK Jyväskylä	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	JJK Jyväskylä - Inter Turku II	4:1 ✺
20.04.25	OLS - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
28.09.24	JJK Jyväskylä - Espoon Palloseura	3:2
29.06.24	Espoon Palloseura - JJK Jyväskylä	1:3
26.04.24	JJK Jyväskylä - Espoon Palloseura	3:1

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