The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves 26.5%
Draw 33.7%
Aimoré 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
29.9%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
30.7%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esportivo Bento Gonçalves's form might have worsened.
Aimoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aimoré's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Aimoré Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Aimoré (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aimoré (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Araujo ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esportivo won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Aimoré may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aimoré has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Esportivo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Esportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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