Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho 2 - Round 6

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		Brasil de Farroupilha

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.58	3.45	5.26
	1.58	3.45	5.26
	1.55	3.64	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	5.23 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
56.9%

Draw
25.9%

Brasil de Farroupilha
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esportivo Bento Gonçalves's performance.

Brasil de Farroupilha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esportivo Bento Gonçalves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Farroupilha than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Farroupilha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Esportivo Bento Gonçalves is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
02.06.24	Passo Fundo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Frederiquense	5:1 ✺
24.04.24	Veranopolis - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	EC Cruzeiro - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Gaúcho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWT
- Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
02.06.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - Gaúcho	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	GE Glória - Brasil de Farroupilha	3:1 ✺
25.04.24	EC Cruzeiro - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Frederiquense - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
12.06.22	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:0
10.04.22	Brasil de Farroupilha - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0

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