Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		Joinville

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.5
	2.7	2.95	2.5
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.86	3.02	2.64
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.75	3.04	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.59)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	2.53 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
33.3%

Draw
30.7%

Joinville
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

24%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esportivo Bento Gonçalves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Esportivo Bento Gonçalves is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Joinville is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
03.07.21	FC Cascavel - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Caxias	1:1 ✺
20.06.21	Aimoré - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
12.06.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTTW
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.21	Joinville - Caxias	2:0 ✺
04.07.21	Rio Branco PR - Joinville	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	1:1 ✺
19.06.21	Joinville - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
12.06.21	Joinville - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTWW

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Joinville

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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