Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Esteghlal		Al Duhail

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.65	3.25	2.48
	2.78	3.43	2.54
	2.75	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.76)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)	2.49 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
34.7%

Draw
28%

Al Duhail
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

19.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Duhail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Esteghlal - Al Duhail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
21.04.21	Al Duhail - Esteghlal	4:3 ✺
18.04.21	Al-Shorta - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
15.04.21	Esteghlal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
03.04.21	Esteghlal - Paykan	0:0 ✺
17.03.21	Machine Sazi Tabriz - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTW
- Al Duhail
AFC Champions League
21.04.21	Al Duhail - Esteghlal	4:3 ✺
18.04.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail	1:1 ✺
15.04.21	Al Duhail - Al-Shorta	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
09.04.21	Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Doha	4:0 ✺
06.04.21	Al-Khor - Al Duhail	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
21.04.21	Al Duhail - Esteghlal	4:3
06.05.19	Esteghlal - Al Duhail	1:1
05.03.19	Al Duhail - Esteghlal	3:0

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