Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Russia	TV Start
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Esteghlal		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.82	3.32	3.92
	2.58	3.49	2.48	Watch
	2.07	3.28	3.49	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.58)	3.36 ↓ (3.49)	3.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
45.7%

Draw
27.8%

Al Wasl
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.

Al Wasl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Wasl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Wasl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Esteghlal - Al Wasl Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Al Wasl will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al Wasl (2.30) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esteghlal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Esteghlal (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Al Wasl (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adan A. (G) 2. Hardani S. (C) 19. Fallah S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 27. Goudarzi H. 8. Razzaghinia A. 70. Asani J. 17. Munir El Haddadi 87. Gholizadeh E. 22. Ndong D. 11. Saharkhizan S.	1. Al Senani K. (G) 44. Awad S. (C) 4. Bouftini S. 3. Al Mheiri Y. 16. Hugo 13. Tapia R. 96. Renato Junior 6. Sidibe S. 21. N'Guessan J. 30. Palacios Alzate B. 90. Diallo A.
Substitutes
23. Aghasi A. 88. Ahmadi M. 7. Azadi M. R. 4. Cheshmi R. 12. Djenepo M. 80. Eslami M. 76. Farabbasi H. (G) 55. Gholami A. 60. Hosseinifar S. (G) 33. Jalali A. 10. Rezaeian R. 15. Zamani A.	39. Al Hamoush K. 32. Ali M. (G) 88. Al Shamsi A. 80. Candido De Oliveira Filho D. 18. Janeer M. 26. Mbongui R. 14. Rodrigo 11. Saldanha 12. Saleh A. 19. Serginho
Coaches
Silva R.	Meral M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Saharkhizan S. ⚽, Gholizadeh E. (A),
18', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Ahmadi M. ↑,
29', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,
45+6', Goudarzi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Renato Junior ↓, Saldanha ↑,
54', Tapia R. ↓, Janeer M. ↑,
54', N'Guessan J. ↓, Serginho ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Hugo ⚽, Serginho (A),
73', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
80', Awad S. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
88', Hardani S. ↓, Rezaeian R. ↑,
89', Razzaghinia A. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
90+4', Diallo A. ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
90+5', Saleh A. 🟨,

Preview

Al Wasl is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )

Esteghlal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Al Wasl has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al Wasl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esteghlal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Esteghlal - Padyab Khalkhal	2:1 ET ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Wehdat - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Esteghlal - Al-Wehdat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWW
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
22.11.25	Al Wasl - Ajman Club	0:0 ✺
UAE League Cup
16.11.25	Al-Jazira - Al Wasl	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al Wasl - Al-Muharraq	2:2 ✺
UAE Football League
31.10.25	Khor Fakkan - Al Wasl	1:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
26.10.25	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Wasl	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Al Wasl - Esteghlal	7:1

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