Match Info

IRAN: Hazfi Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Esteghlal		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.8
	1.66	3.05	6
	1.33	3.9	11
	1.62	3.3	5.84
	1.66	3.05	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.42 ↑ (3)	6.73 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
59.2%

Draw
27.1%

Mes Kerman
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

30.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

32.8%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Esteghlal - Mes Kerman Predictions

Users Predictions: Esteghlal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Blanco G. ⚽, Masharipov J. (A),
50', Rezavand A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 3.

Recent matches Esteghlal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mes Kerman is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Esteghlal is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
07.12.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.12.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Esteghlal	2:2 ✺
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
09.11.24	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Al-Hilal - Esteghlal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTWL
- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
06.12.24	Mes Kerman - Shahr Raz	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Kerman	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Mes Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Kerman	2:3 ✺
29.10.24	Mes Kerman - Naft Masjed Soleyman	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
02.02.23	Mes Kerman - Esteghlal	2:3
25.08.22	Esteghlal - Mes Kerman	1:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
31.10.16	Esteghlal - Mes Kerman	1:0 ET
Iran Pro League
31.01.14	Mes Kerman - Esteghlal	1:1
29.10.13	Esteghlal - Mes Kerman	1:1
14.01.13	Esteghlal - Mes Kerman	2:1
06.08.12	Mes Kerman - Esteghlal	0:0

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