Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 6

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.41	4.66	7.52
	1.41	4.61	7.21	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.43	4.6	7.4	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.53 ↑ (4.29)	7.02 ↓ (7.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
65.9%

Draw
20.7%

Esteghlal
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.1%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Esteghlal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 31. Yaslam S. 79. Kessie F. (C) 11. Alexsander 7. Mahrez R. 8. Al Nabit S. 19. Al Rashidi F. 99. Toney I.	1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 33. Jalali A. 55. Raphael Silva 4. Cheshmi R. 2. Moradmand M. 80. Eslami M. 88. Rezavand A. 22. Ndong D. 77. Masharipov J. 19. Blanco G.
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 15. Al Ammar A. 40. Al Asmari A. 6. Al Hurayji B. 30. Al Johani Z. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 39. Al Zubaidi Y. 5. Baker M. 45. Darisi A. 9. Feras Al Brikan	70. Behraminejad M. 21. Kakuta G. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 90. Mardi A. 14. Niknafs Z. 50. Nikpour A. (G) 23. Ramezani A. 66. Saadavi Z. 99. Sadeghi A. 6. Salimi I. 18. Zakipour M. 15. Zamani A.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Mosimane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Raphael Silva ⚽, Moradmand M. (A),
45+8', 1 - 1, Toney I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Eslami M. ⚽,
64', Rezavand A. 🟨,
67', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
67', Al Nabit S. ↓, Feras Al Brikan ↑,
68', Blanco G. ↓, Ramezani A. ↑,
68', Jalali A. ↓, Zakipour M. ↑,
68', Rezavand A. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
70', Zakipour M. 🟨,
73', Yaslam S. 🟨,
81', Eslami M. 🟥,
83', 2 - 2, Toney I. (Pen),
83', Niknafs Z. 🟨,
83', Hosseini H. 🟨,
87', Masharipov J. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
90', Alexsander ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', Rezaeian R. ↓, Salimi I. ↑,

Preview

Al-Ahli is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Al-Ahli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Esteghlal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Ahli is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Ahli to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
29.11.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Al Ain - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.11.24	Al-Feiha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Raed	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shorta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
09.11.24	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Al-Hilal - Esteghlal	4:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
31.10.24	Esteghlal - Tractor Sazi	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
27.04.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Esteghlal	0:0
15.04.21	Esteghlal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:2
23.09.20	Esteghlal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:0
17.02.20	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Esteghlal	2:1

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