Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Esteghlal		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.4	4
	1.87	3.5	4	Watch
	1.9	3.56	4.12
	1.87	3.54	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.89	3.52	4.21	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	4.08 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
50.2%

Draw
26.9%

Pakhtakor
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Esteghlal - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: Esteghlal will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
aba1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 3. Fallah S. 55. Raphael Silva 2. Moradmand M. 18. Zakipour M. 80. Eslami M. 88. Rezavand A. 22. Ndong D. 77. Masharipov J. 19. Blanco G.	12. Nazarov V. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. (C) 55. Abdumazhidov M. 4. Abdullaev A. 3. Azmiddinov S. 44. Mahamadjonov M. 33. Abdumannopov D. 23. Buriev A. 8. Kholmatov D. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 30. Jurakuziev O.
Substitutes
70. Behraminejad M. 33. Jalali A. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 90. Mardi A. 14. Niknafs Z. 50. Nikpour A. (G) 23. Ramezani A. 66. Saadavi Z. 99. Sadeghi A. 6. Salimi I. 15. Zamani A.	20. Abdullaev D. 2. Askarov B. 99. Hoshimov U. 17. Khamdamov D. 11. Kholdorkhonov P. 40. Merk K. 6. Orinboev M. 15. Ortikboev D. 35. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 18. Saidnurullaev S. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 31. Usmonov M.
Coaches
Mosimane P.	Shatskikh M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Fallah S. 🟨,
63', Fallah S. ↓, Salimi I. ↑,
63', Blanco G. ↓, Sadeghi A. ↑,
64', Zakipour M. ↓, Jalali A. ↑,
64', Rezavand A. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
74', Alizhonov K. 🟨,
81', Jurakuziev O. ↓, Hoshimov U. ↑,
83', Eslami M. ↓, Ramezani A. ↑,
87', Moradmand M. 🟨,
89', Kholmatov D. ↓, Askarov B. ↑,
89', Abdumannopov D. ↓, Merk K. ↑,
90+2', Niknafs Z. 🟨,
90+3', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Orinboev M. ↑,

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Esteghlal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
09.11.24	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Al-Hilal - Esteghlal	4:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
31.10.24	Esteghlal - Tractor Sazi	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
21.11.24	Pakhtakor - AGMK	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	5:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Pakhtakor - Al-Rayyan	0:1 ✺
Uzbek League
31.10.24	Pakhtakor - Andijan	3:1 ✺
26.10.24	Qizilqum - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
26.09.20	Pakhtakor - Esteghlal	2:1

Upcoming Matches