Match Info

Hazfi Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ghadir Stadium (Ahvaz)


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Foolad Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.78	2.25
	3.70	2.24	2.65	Watch
	3.36	2.78	2.25
	3.45	2.7	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 (3.45)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
26.5%

Draw
34.8%

Foolad Khuzestan
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

33.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

32.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Foolad Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
45', 0 - 1, Ansari S. (Pen),
45+6', 0 - 2, Ansari S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 3, Ansari S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0.

Esteghlal Khuzestan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Foolad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Foolad could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- Foolad Khuzestan FC
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Paykan	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Zob Ahan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1
08.05.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1
26.12.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:0
17.03.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:0
20.10.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
11.04.19	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:3
26.10.18	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0

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