Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 13

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ghadir Stadium (Ahvaz)


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.62	2.62
	3.09	2.63	2.73
	3.04	2.70	2.65	Watch
	3	2.45	2.63
	3.11	2.65	2.7	Watch
	3	2.54	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	2.66 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
30.1%

Draw
35.3%

Kheybar Khorramabad
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

34.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

33.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kheybar Khorramabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kheybar Khorramabad will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Kheybar Khorramabad (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kia M. (G) 60. Baghaki S. D. 77. Ahmadi M. M. 66. Mehdizadeh M. 4. Abbasi A. 29. Latifi G. 8. Bouhamdan H. (C) 6. Sharifi M. 11. Koohi A. 70. Ahmadi H. 7. Rostami A.	12. Dinarvand M. (G) 6. Masoumi M. E. 15. Mohebi M. 77. Azadmanesh A. 7. Goudarzi M. 10. Shojaei A. 23. Albusabih S. 8. Yousefi F. 88. Babaei E. 99. Ghezel A. 69. Khanzadi A. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Shojaei A. 🟨,
45+1', Mehdizadeh M. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Azadmanesh A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sharifi M. ↓, Jalalivand A. ↑,
59', Shojaei A. ↓, Pasandideh S. ↑,
59', Azadmanesh A. ↓, Arasteh A. ↑,
73', Khanzadi A. M. ↓, Farsi A. ↑,
73', Albusabih S. ↓, Sefid M. ↑,
73', Rostami A. ↓, Pourshijani A. ↑,
73', Koohi A. ↓, Farhadi A. ↑,
75', Arasteh A. 🟨,
82', Ahmadi H. ↓, Zavari M. ↑,
84', Yousefi F. ↓, Maaali A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0.

Esteghlal Khuzestan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Kheybar Khorramabad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
04.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLT
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
04.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Zob Ahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.05.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
19.12.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
Iran Division 1
25.02.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
28.09.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1
05.03.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
31.10.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1
02.06.21	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1

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