Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 12

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Khorramabad)


	Kheybar Khorramabad		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	5.15
	1.69	3.01	5.44
	1.79	2.99	5.69	Watch
	1.73	2.9	5.5
	1.74	3.11	5.82	Watch
	1.66	3.1	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.03)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	5.49 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kheybar Khorramabad
53%

Draw
30.3%

Shams Azar Qazvin
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kheybar Khorramabad's performance.

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shams Azar Qazvin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kheybar Khorramabad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shams Azar Qazvin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dinarvand M. (G) 15. Mohebi M. 6. Masoumi M. E. 9. Tabatabaei M. 33. Aghajanpour M. 88. Babaei E. 10. Shojaei A. 23. Alousabih S. 19. Ghanbari M. 69. Khanzadi A. M. 17. Zarouni H.	1. Jafarpour A. (G) 77. Moamelehgari F. 2. Nejad Mehdi M. 6. Mohebi S. 33. Rabizadeh H. 48. Sourgi M. M. 4. Daghagheleh A. 8. Bahiraei H. 11. Shojaeian D. 27. Fazooni R. 17. Mamizadeh M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kheybar Khorramabad won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Shams Azar Qazvin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kheybar Khorramabad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kheybar Khorramabad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kheybar Khorramabad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
28.11.25	Zob Ahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Persepolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 TWTLW
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
28.11.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis	1:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Niroye Zamini	3:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
06.11.25	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
05.04.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0
01.11.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:0
Iran Division 1
29.03.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1
25.10.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:1
04.04.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0
22.11.21	Shams Azar Qazvin - Kheybar Khorramabad	3:3

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