Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ghadir Stadium (Ahvaz)


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Malavan

	1	X	2
	2.59	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)	2.85 ↑ (2.81)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
35.1%

Draw
31.9%

Malavan
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Preview

Postponed due to safety reasons.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Malavan	6	2	1	3	5:8	-3	7
15	Esteghlal Khuzestan	7	1	3	3	4:9	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
23.02.26	Sepahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Esteghlal - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTL
- Malavan
Iran Pro League
22.02.26	Malavan - Tractor Sazi	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Malavan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Malavan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
24.10.25	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0
27.02.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Malavan	1:2
27.09.24	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
01.05.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Malavan	1:1
10.11.23	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1
Iran Division 1
12.04.22	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
02.12.21	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Malavan	0:0

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