The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Malavan 17.9%
Draw 28%
Tractor Sazi 54.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.8%
31.9%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
30.1%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malavan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tractor Sazi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tractor Sazi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Tayebipour F. (G) 27. Shahriari E. 30. Beheshti M. 28. Karimi A. 92. Amirzadeh A. 7. Jafari F. 81. Hosseinpour J. 5. Saadavi Z. 20. Papi M. 99. Ramezani A. 90. Sadeghi H.
1. Beiranvand A. (G) 33. Faraji F. 3. Khalilzadeh S. 22. Naderi M. 11. Esmaeilifar D. 5. Khamrobekov O. 6. Hosseini M. 4. Zakipour M. 7. Halilovic T. 70. Moghanlou S. 99. Hosseinzadeh A.
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 0.
Malavan is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tractor Sazi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tractor Sazi carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Malavan has recorded 0 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:24 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Malavan against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 0.4:1 per game).