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Current Win Probability
Malavan 23.4%
Draw 29.5%
Tractor Sazi 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.5%
32.2%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
31.3%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Tractor Sazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Tayebipour F. (G) 24. Eiri D. 4. Afsordeh A. 5. Karimi S. 20. Papi M. 90. Sadeghi H. 8. Sabet Imani G. 10. Eslamikhah G. 77. Safarzadeh A. 70. Mohammadi M. 88. Jafari F.
1. Beiranvand A. (G) 11. Esmaeilifar D. 33. Faraji F. 3. Khalilzadeh S. 22. Naderi M. 20. Hashemnejad M. 7. Halilovic T. 21. Khamrobekov O. 99. Hosseinzadeh A. 19. Strkalj T. 25. Drozdek D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Halilovic T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Jafari F. ↓, Beheshti M. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Mohammadi M. ⚽,
62', Safarzadeh A. 🟨,
70', Strkalj T. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,
78', Papi M. ↓, Ramezani A. ↑,
78', Sadeghi H. ↓, Habibi A. ↑,
82', Hashemnejad M. ↓, Lushkja R. ↑,
82', Halilovic T. ↓, Hosseini M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Esmaeilifar D. ⚽, Khamrobekov O. (A),
90+5', Afsordeh A. ↓, Zhamkash M. ↑,
90+6', Mohammadi M. ↓, Yahyazadeh S. ↑,
90+9', Hosseini M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Malavan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tractor Sazi is seen as the favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 0 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Malavan won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Tractor
7
5
1
1
8:1
7
16
12
Malavan
6
2
1
3
5:8
-3
7
Last Results with these Odds
Tractor Sazi - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.