Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Khorramabad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	Shabake 3


	Kheybar Khorramabad		Malavan

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.88	2.78
	2.64	3.00	2.74	Watch
	2.69	2.95	2.79	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.87)	2.91 ↑ (2.81)	2.76 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kheybar Khorramabad
34.8%

Draw
31.7%

Malavan
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

31.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

32.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Malavan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Kheybar Khorramabad (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pour Hamidi H. (G) 2. Sefid M. 15. Mohebi M. 3. Hosseini E. 4. Pasandideh S. 88. Babaei E. 19. Ghanbari M. 8. Yousefi F. 7. Goudarzi M. 16. Moradi I. 76. Farsi A.	98. Tayebipour F. (G) 20. Papi M. 24. Eiri D. 4. Karami A. 77. Safarzadeh A. 19. Yahyazadeh S. 88. Jafari F. 8. Sabet Imani G. 90. Sadeghi H. 13. Alinejad M. 70. Mohammadi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Hosseini E. 🟨,
64', Alinejad M. 🟨,
89', Tayebipour F. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Ghezel A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kheybar Khorramabad won 0.

Kheybar Khorramabad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Malavan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Malavan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kheybar Khorramabad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kheybar Khorramabad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Malavan	6	2	1	3	5:8	-3	7
13	Kheybar Khorramabad	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
06.02.26	Sepahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Kheybar Khorramabad - Foolad Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Fajr Sepasi - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Kheybar Khorramabad - Aluminium Arak	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- Malavan
Iran Pro League
08.02.26	Malavan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Malavan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Malavan - Foolad Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Sepahan - Malavan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
03.10.25	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0
11.04.25	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	3:0
02.12.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:3
Iran Division 1
30.04.22	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
14.12.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
24.07.21	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 penalties
Iran Division 1
24.04.21	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:2

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