Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 32

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Estepona		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.6	2.8	2.8
	2.85	2.89	2.64
	2.74	2.98	2.59
	2.6	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.17)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.63 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
34%

Draw
31.3%

CD Guadalajara
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

31.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estepona's form might have worsened.

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Estepona - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.04.23	Socuéllamos - Estepona	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Estepona - Diocesano	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Cacereño - Estepona	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Estepona - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético Paso - Estepona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLTWW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.04.23	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Unión Adarve - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Leganés B - CD Guadalajara	3:3 ✺
02.04.23	CD Guadalajara - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Diocesano - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.22	CD Guadalajara - Estepona	0:0

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