Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 30

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Estepona		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.1	4.2
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.81	3.22	4.69
	1.76	3.32	4.6
	1.8	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.51 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
51.7%

Draw
28.1%

Diocesano
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

28.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

27.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Estepona - Diocesano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Estepona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Diocesano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estepona to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.04.23	Cacereño - Estepona	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Estepona - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético Paso - Estepona	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Estepona - Melilla	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Navalcarnero - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWWWT
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.04.23	Diocesano - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Unión Adarve - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
26.03.23	Diocesano - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Socuéllamos - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Leganés B - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	Diocesano - Estepona	0:1

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