Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Estepona		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.74	3.36	4.93
	1.72	3.38	4.77	Watch
	1.74	3.32	4.86
	1.75	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.56)	3.32 ↓ (3.49)	4.68 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
52.8%

Draw
27.6%

Villanovense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

26.2%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

25.3%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estepona's form might have worsened.

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Estepona - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Gomez C. ⚽,
84', Olmedo J. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estepona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Estepona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.03.25	Linense - Estepona	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Estepona - Águilas	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Orihuela - Estepona	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Estepona - Cadiz CF B	5:1 ✺
02.02.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.03.25	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Xerez Deportivo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villanovense - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Minera - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Villanovense - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.24	Villanovense - Estepona	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.04.23	Estepona - Villanovense	2:0
20.11.22	Villanovense - Estepona	2:1

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