Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Estepona		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	7.75
	1.35	4.5	8.5
	1.35	4.55	8.93
	1.35	4.56	8.93
	1.31	4.54	9.05
	1.35	4.3	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)	4.44 ↑ (4.28)	8.49 ↓ (8.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
68.5%

Draw
20.7%

Cartagena B
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

13.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Cartagena B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estepona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estepona - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Estepona is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.04.24	Orihuela - Estepona	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Estepona - El Palo	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Estepona - Vélez	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Sevilla B - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLWL
- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.04.24	Cartagena B - Manchego	0:4 ✺
31.03.24	Águilas - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Cartagena B - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Betis B - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Cartagena B - La Unión	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	Cartagena B - Estepona	1:2

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