Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 18

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Estepona		Leganés B

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.45	2.85	3.2
	2.29	2.85	3.1
	2.38	2.87	3.24
	2.32	2.94	3.1
	2.31	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.88)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	3.13 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
39.1%

Draw
31.7%

Leganés B
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estepona's form might have worsened.

Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leganés B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leganés B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estepona - Leganés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Leganés B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.23	Atlético Madrid B - Estepona	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Estepona - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	CD Guadalajara - Estepona	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Estepona - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Diocesano - Estepona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTTW
- Leganés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.01.23	Melilla - Leganés B	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Leganés B - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Unión Adarve - Leganés B	3:3 ✺
03.12.22	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.09.22	Leganés B - Estepona	2:2

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