Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Estepona		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.87	2.8
	2.35	3.05	3.2
	2.42	2.95	2.8
	2.53	2.92	3.01
	2	3	3.7
	2.39	2.97	2.97
	2.44	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.85)	2.96 ↓ (3.24)	3.05 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
38.9%

Draw
31%

Socuéllamos
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estepona's form might have worsened.

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Socuéllamos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Socuéllamos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Estepona - Socuéllamos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Estepona will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Socuéllamos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estepona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	Diocesano - Estepona	0:1 ✺
30.11.22	Estepona - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Estepona - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Villanovense - Estepona	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Melilla - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTLT
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	Socuéllamos - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Unión Adarve - Socuéllamos	3:2 ✺
20.11.22	Socuéllamos - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Socuéllamos - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Diocesano - Socuéllamos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWW

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